NEW YORK: Salomon Smith Barney analyst John Jones on Wednesday said he cut
his fourth-quarter sales estimates for International Business Machines Corp.,
pointing to slow Christmas sales of personal computers as well as a
slower-than-expected recovery in the hard disk drive business.
Jones also cited a greater-than-expected impact to sales from currency
translations for the world's largest computer maker.
Those factors led Jones to reduce his view of IBM's revenue growth on a
constant currency basis from 13.7 per cent to 11.7 per cent for the fourth
quarter. That would mean reported sales of $25.7 billion, or growth of 6.3 per
cent, compared with a third-quarter increase of 3 per cent.
Jones maintained his fourth-quarter estimate of earnings per share of $1.48,
which is still two cents above the analyst consensus estimate as compiled by
First Call/Thomson Financial. He said new mainframe shipments are a notable
positive this quarter, saying the machines have tested well and that a few
hundred have shipped during the quarter.
"Our slightly more conservative constant-currency forecast reflects
three items," Jones wrote in a note to clients, explaining his reduction of
sales estimate by $400 million. "Currency is expected to impact results by
$1.3 billion, rather than $1.2 billion;" Jones wrote. "Softer PCs -
given industry trends for slow Christmas sales despite healthy discounting - and
a tempered hard disk drive recovery where despite business wins, high-end server
drives have not picked up as expected.
IBM's stock added $3-7/16 to $88-1/4 on the New York Stock Exchange.
(C) Reuters Limited 2001.