SAN DIEGO: Larry Ellison, the normally opinionated co-founder and chief
executive of No. 2 software maker Oracle Corp., on Tuesday passed on predicting
when corporate technology spending is likely to pick up, but said he was
assuming things wouldn't get better in the next three months.
"My Chinese friends tell me that predictions are very dangerous,
especially when they pertain to the future. I predicted the end of this
recession three months ago ... you saw how good that was," Ellison joked at
Oracle AppsWorld 2002, the company's user conference running through Wednesday
in San Diego.
Last month, Oracle posted earnings that came in slightly below its previously
optimistic forecast on new software revenues that fell by nearly one-third from
the year-earlier quarter ended Feb. 28.
Ellison and company, however, have not been alone in botching their
forecasts. In recent days, company rivals PeopleSoft Inc. and International
Business Machines Corp. have warned that results from their recently completed
quarter would come in lower than expected.
"Businesses are still being very cautious with their capital
spending," Ellison said. Meanwhile, Oracle has cut prices on its software
and begun offering fixed-priced installations and upgrades in an effort to drum
up more business, he said.
Silicon Valley-based Oracle on Tuesday also became the latest high-profile
company to fire Arthur Andersen LLP as the auditing firm grapples with the
fallout from the collapse of energy trader Enron Corp. More than 100 firms have
dropped Andersen in the wake of a criminal charge, which alleges that the
auditor obstructed justice by destroying Enron documents.