Lisa Baertlein
PALO ALTO: Shares of Oracle Corp. rose more than six per cent on Thursday,
one day after the No. 2 software maker pledged a return to its trademark
feistiness and repeated positive views on its current quarter.
Oracle's stock closed up $1.14 at $19.18 on the Nasdaq exchange.
The movement came as Standard & Poor's computer software index chalked up
a gain of 26.16, or nearly 3 per cent, to close at 918.65. The sector lifted on
a US appeals court ruling on Thursday morning, which overturned a lower-court
order that would have chopped industry titan Microsoft Corp. in two. The order,
however, left standing the lower court's finding that Microsoft holds a monopoly
in personal computer operating systems and that some of its competitive
practices amounted to an illegal use of that monopoly.
Analysts unmoved by bullishness
Oracle chief executive Larry Ellison and chief financial officer Jeff Henley on
Wednesday told analysts gathered for an annual meeting at the company's Redwood
Shores, California, headquarters that Oracle saw corporate America's technology
spending slowdown hit bottom during its fourth quarter ended May 31. They also
said that some of the big deals that crumbled as a result of that economic
pressure have been resuscitated.
The executives also said they were deploying aggressive campaigns against
International Business Machines Corp. in databases, with BEA Systems Inc. in
application servers, and with Siebel Systems Inc. in customer relationship
management software.
"Management seems reinvigorated by its newfound thirst for blood on the
competitive front," Merrill Lynch analyst Chris Shilakes wrote in a note to
clients. "Through its history, Oracle has thrived on confrontation and has
left a number of companies in its wake - e.g. Sybase, Informix, Baan, JD
Edwards," Deutsche Banc Alex. Brown analyst James Moore wrote in a research
note.
Analysts maintain ratings
Analysts, however, have heard such bullish comments before. They maintained
their ratings on Oracle stock, saying that the optimism may be premature.
"Lots of hype, but little evidence of better execution/products," Banc
of America Securities analyst Bob Austrian wrote in a note on the company's
analyst day event.
"Management still believes the domestic (information technology)
spending slowdown has bottomed. No compelling data points to confirm,"
Austrian said.
Oracle currently is in the first month of its traditionally slow fiscal first
quarter. The company, like many other software makers, closes many of its key
deals in the final days of its quarters and gets a significant portion of its
revenue during its fourth quarter.
Shilakes maintained his forecast for flat revenue growth for first half of
Oracle's fiscal year 2002 and said he expects revenue to accelerate in the first
half of calendar 2002. Three things that should help boost sales, he said, are
that Oracle's new software products will be more mature, the company's
referenceable customer list will be larger and the global economy is expected to
stabilize.
Moore maintained his long-term "buy" rating on Oracle, although he
said the softening economy in Europe, which he said accounts for 30 per cent of
Oracle's business, remains a wild card. At WR Hambrecht and Co., analysts Rich
Peterson and Robert Matule Jr. reiterated their "neutral" rating on
Oracle, saying that they continue to see pricing pressure on Oracle's core
database business from Microsoft and IBM.
(C) Reuters Limited 2001.