They say that the IT
industry grew at this phenomenal rate because there was no interference of
the government. But, for the same reason, we have seen very limited growth
in government spending in IT, which has effected the growth in domestic IT
market. What is your opinion on this issue?
I think the government has a clear role in developing an industry
particularly in an environment like that of India, which is an emerging
market. The role of the government is to create a policy framework that
reduces friction for access to market for operations of a company, access
capital market, reduces friction to equip oneself with the best technology
of the world. I think the GOI has done a very good job by and large in
doing this. So, I do not subscribe to the argument that since the
government is not involved, the IT industry has not grown domestically.
On the issue of the government not using much of IT, I think there is a
clear move today to increase the usage. Various state governments, notably
lead by Andhra Pradesh, are looking at creating IT-based administrative
and discipline making infrastructure. Also among the PSUs and the banking
sector, the importance of IT is being felt.
But, when it comes to government department, computerisation has not
been happening to a satisfactory level.
I agree with you there. The level of computerisation, IT usage in the
government departments is not up to the mark. But, look for example the
Income Tax department which has started the project to leverage the power
of IT to bring convenience to the tax payers. It will happen gradually.
The software industry has grown in the country in a manner no other
industry has ever witnessed. How much of this growth has helped the Indian
middle and lower classes in their lives, besides giving them employment?
What steps can the government take to ensure that IT applications become a
part of the Indian masses, thereby helping them lead a better quality of
life?
Slowly, we are finding that the utilities have started getting
computerised. Some of them are providing information such as complaints
through Internet. You can pay bills through banks. Looking at these
things, the government is trying to bring the anytime, anywhere paradigm
to the convenience of the common man. But, we are still in the beginning
stage and have a long way to go. I am sure we will reach there.
We have also been able to create more jobs with disposable income,
which has helped the secondary and tertiary industries. Today we see a lot
more cars and two wheelers being bought by them, which will help these
industries.
Why is there no coordinated effort between the industry and the
government in setting up a world class research and development (R&D)
centre for software technologies that will be comparable to the best in
the world. We have the expertise in the industry and the resource pool
too. Do you think finance is a big issue here?
I do not know if government has a role in the coordination between the
industry and the academia in the area of R&D. I think industry and the
academia have to come together. They have to start enhancing their
appreciation. The academia has to take a more practical approach in
solving the problems of the industry. The industry has to take a more
long-term view of the benefits of the research the academia can take up.
It is really one of bringing a certain amount of balance between the
expectations of the industry and the academia. I am not very sure the
government has a role in that.
The academia has never been known to be aggressive in meeting the needs
of the industry.
That is not what a government mandate can bring. It is possible with
the following reasons: The industry must see the benefits in leveraging
the strengths of the academia. The academia must get into an orientation
that part of the time we will solve problems that will bring short-term
benefits to the industry. They have to get out their ivory towers and
start relating to the society around them.
How do you see finance playing a role here?
The industry has to learn to earmark a larger percentage of their
profits than what they have been doing so far towards R&D. The norm is
10-20 per cent in the western countries. In India this figure is low. The
ball is clearly in the court of the corporate world, which has to define
problems to be solved that will have implications for long-term growth.
What is it that Indian software companies lack due to which we have not
produced any internationally recognised software product brand?
The traditional strength of the Indian software industry has been in
the area of software development, maintenance and re-engineering. In an
off-the-shelf product company, the cost of development, re-engineering and
maintenance is anywhere between 20-30 per cent. The remaining goes into
brand creation, marketing, sales, channels, in order to make sure that the
shelves carry your product. And then there is R&D. At this stage, I do
not see large companies moving towards products in a significant manner. I
think, as we start learning the science of brand equity creation and
marketing, we will see Indian companies transiting towards products. It is
going to happen in the next 3-5 years.
If the software industry was dominated by Y2K projects till yesterday,
what is it that has replaced the Y2K market?
Right now, the concentration is on e-commerce, enabling of traditional
applications for e-commerce, the leveraging of Internet and intranet
competencies for bringing information systems of the professionals,
package implementation and perhaps customer relationship management. Of
course, the traditional development, maintenance and re-engineering will
continue to be the major revenue earners for the Indian software industry.
Till when?
At this point of time, the estimates that have been put up is that the
total offshorable outsourcing opportunities is about $20-25 billion. As
you know that India has got only 10 per cent of that market till March 31.
So, we have a large opportunity which we can leverage. If we continue to
innovate, if we continue to make our employees happy and invest in
technology, infrastructure and brand creation, my personal view is that we
can grow 30-40 per cent for several years.
What are your views on the future of much-talked about e-commerce? How
much will e-commerce change the way we shop?
All segments of the industry in the US have virtual corporations. That
is because the US has built a high quality, high bandwidth
data-communication infrastructure. We in India are in the process of doing
so and it will take a few years. We have to have competition in the basic
services. It will solve the problem of last mile. Telephone should be made
cheaper than what it is today. If these things happen, e-commerce will
surely take place in India too.
Will language be a hurdle in doing e-commerce?
No. It is not a big deal to provide e-commerce in local language. But,
why it is still being done in English? Look at the telephone density in
India. We have something like 1.7-1.8 per 1000 people. Of this, 50 per
cent are in the corporate world. Of the remaining 50 per cent, 80 per cent
are in the major towns where English is generally spoken. That is the
reason.
The current trend seems to be of start up e-commerce businesses. What
precisely can Indian software companies contribute to in the global
e-commerce market?
The good thing about e-commerce area is that if you can bring anytime,
anywhere paradigm to the commerce, more and more people will start using
it.
Will it be services only again or do you see us developing products
that could gain international recognition in the e-commerce front?
No. I think Indian companies will continue to be, in a major way,
service providers for re-engineering existing applications as well
developing new applications for key enablers of business of corporations.
There will, however, be a small percentage of Indian companies which will
come out with e-commerce products.
What advise do you have for the start-ups in the e-commerce solutions
business?
First of all every entrepreneur must have a great idea. An idea which
will bring value to the corporation and/or to the individuals. Secondly,
his idea must be marketable. Third, the trend now a days is compression of
cycle time. Which means that our entrepreneurs must come out with their
products much quicker than they could five years back.
What has changed in the Indian software companies over the last two
decades?
The most visible thing that I can see is the shift from onsite
services to offshore model. Second, the Indian software industry has
become much more capital intensive. Thirdly, the industry has received the
critical mass of recognition from the Fortune 500 companies around the
world. It is no longer why India. It is how India, what cost India etc.
Fourth one, we have learnt to use satellite communications for
conducting business with customers. Fifth, as against debt being the
primary source of capital some years ago, today equity has become the
preferred source of capital. Venture capital has become primary source of
capital for start-ups. There is a clear recognition in the minds of
prospective employees of India that this is the industry which will give
them money. This has helped the industry. Finally, the entrepreneurs in
the industry has demonstrated that by running the company in a legal and
ethical way you can create very high market capitalisation.
You have pointed out the positive changes. What are the changes you
wish the software industry had not seen?
There are a few things that worry me a bit. Somehow, our young people
have neglected their chosen professions of electrical or other streams of
engineering to rush to the software industry. With the result, we do not
have high quality electrical engineers to build power stations, high
quality civil engineers to build dams and bridges in large numbers.
Second, the concentration of software companies in a few large cities is
not helping the cause of pollution control, of open system planning,
education, housing etc. Because these are people with reasonable
disposable income and are able to buy cars, houses and pay high rent. Vast
majority of urban population have been put in a disadvantage because of
this industry.
The third thing is because the Indian industry, government and PSUs
have not been found very attractive by the Indian software industry, we
have not been able to bring the benefits of all our expertise in improving
the competitive advantage of Indian companies.
We in India have a few world-class IT companies, both in size and
quality. However, we are yet to witness takeovers and mergers happening in
the software industry, as much as it takes place in the US. What are the
reasons behind it?
We are still in the primary stage of the development of software
industry in India. Here it takes much longer to create nurture and build
up the company to a critical mass. So the entrepreneurs will have to show
much longer commitment to the company. Which means that an Indian
entrepreneur is not in a hurry to sell his company to somebody and move on
to another because by and large the opportunities for Indian companies
lies in the services companies, which require much longer to build a
customer base.
When will the trend be seen here?
I think it will come when more and more Indian companies start
developing products.
What software technologies are expected to dominate the market during
the next 2-3 years?
It is very difficult to predict. Any technology that improves the
cycle time, improves the cost, quality, productivity of a corporation will
be the one that will be embraced. At the consumer level any technology, in
addition to these, will bring, better quality of leisure, better quality
of entertainment, better utilisation of their time, such will be the
technologies.
Which is the existing concept that will drive such technologies?
Obviously, e-commerce is very clear for that kind of a paradigm.
You pointed out that in India one can expect products in the next 4-5
years. Which are the technologies that will drive such product
development?
It is difficult to predict about four years from now. But, if I have
to bet on one thing, very clearly, it is the e-enabling of applications.
What are the untapped markets where you feel Indian software industry
still has scope?
US is perhaps the most opportunity intensive market. It is also a
market where the customers are much more open to outsourcing. So, in my
opinion US will continue to be a major market for India even into the next
millennium. However, Europe and the Far East have the potential to become
major markets for India.