Two years ago, Intel was talking about its IA-64 Merced
processor promising a blazing speed of around 650 MHz. At the time, high-end
processors were running at 266 MHz. By the time the Merced, now called Itanium,
hits the market in mid-to-late 2000, 650MHz would make it the slowest high-end
processors then available.
With Advanced Micro Devices shipping 700MHz processors today,
and Apple’s G4 PowerMacs crunching upward of 1 billion floating point
calculations, Intel will be forced to come up with something better for the
Itanium to stand out. At this week’s Microprocessor Forum in Silicon Valley,
Intel and AMD engineers unveiled details of their next series of chips,
including the promise by Intel that the Itanium will be capable of making 6
billion floating point calculations per second. That points to a clock speed of
around 900-1000 MHz AMD, meanwhile, acknowledged that it is working on a new
64-bit architecture for a future "K8" processor developed under the
ominous-sounding code-name "Sledgehammer."
The chip will have an all new "x86-64" instruction
set that essentially extends the current 32-bit architecture, and thus assures
that the new 64-processor will run all existing 32-bit software applications.
While AMD appears to see market opportunities for 64-bit
processors in the general desktop market, Intel is targeting the Itanium
processor at the server market. Intel believes the demand for servers that will
power Internet sites and services will be huge.
Most attendees at the event were severely disappointed about
the lack of detailed information Intel revealed about the Itanium. Perhaps the
most impressive showing at the Microprocessor Forum, was a potential strong
competitor for the Itanium in the server chip market. The so-called Power4
processor under development at IBM is copper-based and will power future IBM
AS/400 minicomputers and RS/6000 workstations that will be launched in the
second half of 2001. The Power4 uses a seven-layer copper architecture and will
contain 170 million transistors. The chips will process data at speeds greater
than one GHz, said Power4 chief architect Jim Kahle.
The Power4 represents a potentially troubling competitor for
Intel. The Power4 was designed to compete with a second-generation IA-64
processor being developed by Intel under the code-name McKinley. But because
Intel has fallen almost two years behind in bringing the Itanium to market, IBM
may have a huge headstart over the McKinley which is not expected until 2003.