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Yahoo stocks rally after analysts raise rating

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CIOL Bureau
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NEW YORK: Shares of Yahoo! Inc. rallied on Thursday, after weeks of a 52-week

low, following a positive rating from Lehman Brothers analyst Holly Becker, who

had been among the first to turn negative on the stock last year. Yahoo shares

rose about 23 per cent, or $2-13/16, to $15-1/4, above a 52-week low of $11-3/8

but is still down more than 90 per cent from year-ago levels. The firm, like

several other Internet firms, has seen its share price tumble on a weak

advertising environment that is cutting into revenues.

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The stock is also moving due to broader stock market gains, with the Nasdaq

up more than 6 per cent, or 107.52, at 1746.32, and the Dow Jones Industrial

Average up more than 3 per cent, or 309.04 points, to 9824.86. Yahoo's shares

have taken a battering in the recent weeks after warning that its earnings would

fall below already lowered estimates due to a deteriorating advertising climate.

It also began a search for a new chief executive to help it turn around its

fortunes, with Tim Koogle staying on as its chairman.

Becker raised her rating on Yahoo to buy from market perform and set a

12-month price target of $20. In a research note, she said it's time to jump

back into the stock because estimates are finally low enough and the valuation

of the stock is much more reasonable.

The company, which is one of the top sites people use to surf the Web, has

been the target of takeover rumors and Becker said the potential for such a deal

limits the downside on the stock. However, technologist strategist at Wit/Soundview

Arnold Berman, said the positive thing about Yahoo is that they continue to have

a lot of page views.

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New strategies to offset revenue decline

Yahoo has also unveiled new initiatives this week aimed at eventually

offsetting the decline in ad revenues. On Thursday the company formed a pact

with Duet, a joint venture between Vivendi Universal and Japan's Sony Music

Entertainment, to market its on-demand subscription music service, which will be

launched this summer in the U.S. and late fall in Europe.

The pact is the latest in the music delivery space. Earlier in the week AOL

Time Warner Inc., Bertelsmann AG and EMI Group PLC formed a new company,

MusicNet, with software firm RealNetworks Inc., to build a subscription platform

that can eventually be licensed to other online music services.

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Analysts see these types of music services as the source of strong revenue

potential for the industry as the demand for digital music grows in the wake of

popular song-swapping service Napster. However, analysts said the efforts will

take a while to impact the bottom line, they said it was a step in the right

direction.

Rumor of lay-off plague Yahoo!

However, there are rumors that the firm will do something that was once

perceived as unthinkable: lay off employees. This comes close on the heels of

the firm issuing an unprecedented warning of zero first-quarter and full-year

profit. "I've heard a lot of rumblings about layoffs," said an analyst

with W R Hambrecht, Derek Brown. "They could come next Wednesday (when

Yahoo reports first-quarter results) or they could come sooner."

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Safa Rashtchy, of Bancorp Piper Jaffray agrees and says the firm would

probably reduce its staff, but might do it gradually through attrition or by

combining some of its divisions. A Yahoo spokeswoman declined to respond to the

reports of possible layoffs.

Tim Koogle, Yahoo's outgoing chief executive, became visibly nervous,

however, when he was asked the same question during a new product announcement

in New York on Tuesday. After a long pause, Koogle said the company would talk

more about its staffing situation on April 11, the day it reports first-quarter

results. Many of Yahoo's peer companies have already reduced their staffs to

balance the tough advertising business. But as recently as three months ago,

Yahoo had remained adamant in ruling out layoffs.

(C) Reuters Limited 2001.

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