LONDON: Vodafone Group Plc, the world's largest mobile phone operator, said
on Tuesday its customer base had climbed past 100 million worldwide -- a
milestone that is also viewed as marking the end of a golden era of growth.
"In this financial year overall, customer growth has been stronger than
anticipated and the recent Christmas quarter additions were in line with our
expectations," chief executive Christopher Gent said in a statement.
But a customer base of just over 100 million would imply that Vodafone added
only around five million new customers since September 30, or about five per
cent growth -- a far cry from the 50 per cent subscriber growth it had notched
up year after year.
Vodafone's registered customers had risen 15 per cent to 95.6 million in the
six months ended September 30 last year. Tressan MacCarthy, telecoms analyst
with SG Securities, said Vodafone's statement seemed to be consistent with
market forecasts for growth of around 3.5 million to four million new customers
in the third quarter ended December 31.
"I can't believe anyone has high hopes for the third quarter," she
said, adding that the entire mobile phone industry faced saturated markets and
slowing growth in western Europe. Mobile phone operators are now focusing on
maximising the amount of revenue they earn from each customer as they adjust to
slower growth in subscriber numbers.
Average revenue per user (ARPU) has now become the benchmark for mobile
operators, rather than pure growth in customer numbers. Vodafone shares were
virtually unchanged at 163-1/2 pence on Tuesday morning. The stock has fallen
over seven per cent so far this month, in line with the broader European telecom
sector.
Shares in mobile phone firms, including handset manufacturers, have all come
under pressure as investors brace for what are expected to be another set of
poor quarterly results. Shares in Nokia, the world's largest mobile phone maker,
fell six per cent on Monday after an investment bank downgraded the stock ahead
of Nokia's fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday.
Vodafone, which is due to report its third quarter customer numbers on
January 29, did not disclose its average revenue per user (ARPU) for the quarter
on Tuesday.
Vodafone has been feeding off the text message boom, boosting its share of
lucrative non-voice revenues earned on networks in its high mobile penetration
markets. ARPU stabilized in the last quarter, halting a prolonged decline.
(C) Reuters Limited.