Nichola Groom
NEW YORK: Hopes that trading of bandwidth could turn out to be the next big
thing have collapsed amid a glut of fiber optic cable and the bankruptcy of
Enron Corp., its biggest proponent. Bandwidth -- the capacity of a fiber optic
line to transmit data from one point to another as on the Internet -- was once
thought to be a commodity as easily traded as gold or oil.
The bursting of the Internet bubble, however, revealed bandwidth trading,
like many of the worst excesses of the dot com boom, to be little more than
hype. "It's never going to be a full-blown liquid market," said Desi
Stoops, director of bandwidth trading for Williams Communications Group, Inc., a
former unit of Williams Cos. Inc. "I think that's something that we are
finally realizing."
Enron's bandwidth trading operations, once touted as the bankrupt energy
trading giant's future, was the first major division to fail, well before the
company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection last month. In fact, the
unit, which never became profitable, cost Enron more than $2 billion to build
and operate, and critics wonder how much business was ever really conducted.
Several small bandwidth exchanges that cropped up during the technology boom
have all but disappeared, said Seth Libby, an analyst with the Yankee Group.
"It's hard to say what they were to begin with," he added.
Few incentives for standard market
Williams Communications, which has a large bandwidth unit, has shifted its
focus to alternative types of risk management as several key issues, including
the question of universal linkage in metropolitan areas, remain unsolved, Stoops
said.
London-based Band-X, which operates a marketplace for buyers and sellers of
bandwidth, said telecommunications carriers prefer its model to the idea of
creating a derivatives market for one of their major assets.
"I'm not entirely sure it's required," said Richard Elliott,
executive vice-president of global trading development for Band-X. "There
is no shortage of capacity due to the massive over-investment we have seen in
the last few years." Until the overcapacity in bandwidth has cleared and
prices rebound, telecommunications companies have little incentive to create a
standardized contract that would provide the framework for commodity-like
trading, Elliott said.
The Bandwidth Trading Organization, which was comprised of carriers like
Enron, introduced a standardized contract, but the contract never proved to be a
hit with the sellers, said Jerry Samuels, senior vice president of trading for
RateXchange Corp., a San Francisco-based bandwidth broker. Exact numbers are
hard to come by, but industry experts say only about 10 percent, or even less,
of existing fiber optic capacity for bandwidth is lit, or in use in the United
States.
This is a key factor in market liquidity, as connection bottlenecks abound in
cities, despite a glut in long-haul capacity and unused dark, or unlit, fibers.
"Although the demand was growing exponentially, supply was growing
exponentially with new technology which can take the existing bandwidth and
multiply its capacity," said Samuels.
Premature idea
The trading that was happening prior to Enron's collapse was primarily
between the major energy companies themselves, including El Paso Corp., Reliant
Energy, Dynegy Inc., and Aquila Inc., said Samuels. In recent months, such firms
have either been forced to scale down their telecommunications units or change
their direction.
"The idea of bandwidth as a commodity is premature," said Libby.
"I don't see Aquila, Dynegy or anybody stepping up to try to fill the role
that Enron played." A spokesman for energy trader and marketer Aquila, Inc.
told Reuters that although the company is still involved in some bandwidth
deals, "Trading is essentially not happening."
Samuels said RateXchange, which operates as a bandwidth consultant and a
broker for equities markets, is sticking it out as there is hope for a bandwidth
marketplace. "We still have the robust trading system that is up and ready
to go when there is the need for it," said Samuels.
In terms of when to expect a full-fledged bandwidth derivatives market, few
are willing to give a specific estimate. "Everyone always says it's 18
months away, but I think it's quite a bit longer than that," Elliott said.
"Perhaps five years." Others are not even willing to speculate.
"I hate to even say anymore," Stoops said.
© Reuters Limited.